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Gittins on Productivity

In my semi-regular series of posts in appreciation of Ross Gittins' role in reporting Australian economics, here is my latest.

This article by Gittins, If bulldusting about productivity was productive, we’d all be rich provides insight into the recent Fair Work Commission ruling to raise award rates by 3.5%. Award workers are typically some of the lowest paid workers in our economy, and industry groups are ‘concerned’ that this is a whole 1.1% above inflation. Oh no! Clutch your pearls!

Whereas keeping the lid on wages may seem profit-increasing for the individual firm, when all of them do it at the same time, it’s profit-reducing. Why? Because the economy is circular. Because wages are by far the greatest source of household income. So the more successful employers are in holding down their wage costs, the less their customers have to spend on whatever businesses are selling. If economic growth is weak – as it is – the first place to look for a reason is the strength of wages growth.

Money we earn is money we spend. More so for lower income earners, because a greater proportion of their income is spent, rather than saved, by virtue of the scale of fixed costs relative to their income levels. So let the people have some more money so that they can spend it.

the commission points out a little-recognised inaccuracy in the conventional way of measuring real wages. It says that, if you take into account that prices rise continuously but wages rise only once a year, award wage workers’ overall loss of earnings since July 2021 has been 14.4 per cent.

14.4%! So all those people who feel like the economy is more difficult now, that everything costs more, and there is little if nothing left over by the time the next payday rolls around… you are absolutely right.

What the lobbyist witch doctors have been doing is concealing the truth that the best explanation for our weak productivity performance is that employers have been seeking to increase their profits by holding down wage costs, rather than by investing in labour-saving technology.

This was a designed strategy by the previous Federal Liberal government and it’s in industry’s individualised (but not collective) self-interest to maintain this approach as long as they can. And they are trying to do exactly that.

Komoot Enshittification Incoming

Jan-Lukas Else brought to my attention that Komoot, a cycling (and other sports) app I had been trialling recently after seeing good reviews, has been acquired and many staff have been laid off.

I was led to this article, Komoot Acquired: History Says This Won’t End Well

today, March 20th, the company has announced that it’s been acquired by Bending Spoons, which bills itself as a technology company (rather than a private equity or other investment apparatus). Though, in reality, history shows otherwise.

As soon as I saw Bending Spoons mentioned, I knew I was out. They have a history of buying and hollowing out companies; most notably Evernote.

Komoot is now deleted. Plenty of other app options out there. Sad though that such a good team was shown the door after doing all the hard work building a good app.

Reading Ross Gittins on Economics

I enjoy reading Ross Gittins' articles on economics. He is doing a great job of highlighting the many failures of the neoliberal dogma in Australia.

ROSS GITTINS: What's kept us from full employment is a bad idea that won't die:

Wages have risen in response to the higher cost of living, but have failed to rise by anything like the rise in prices. Why? Because, seemingly unnoticed by the econocrats, workers’ bargaining power against employers has declined hugely since the 1970s.

This is so key. When I was in university, the Phillips Curve was being boosted as the saviour solution. I’ve changed, and economic thinking needs to change as well.

Unions have been neutered. Individualised long-term contracts have nobbled any opportunity for people to achieve meaningful wage growth; unless you’re a CEO in which case your performance bonuses alone will see your income skyrocket year-on-year.

Our major economic problems are that trickle-down economics didn’t trickle—rather it locked in wage growth benefits to the elite—and that the value of capital has been overvalued at the expense of labour. Which benefits the elite, who are the continued proponents of neoliberalism. Wow, who would have thought?

We Need a New Approach to Social Platforms

The Elon-gate’d Man | Jared White:

Jared White mounts a solid argument as to where we have gone wrong with big tech celebrity, and talks about how me might be able to do better in the future.

with this maturity has to come broader awareness that Big Tech can’t simply act like 21st century echoes of the robber barons. Either the tech sector must demonstrate its ability to police itself and show good corporate governance and a willingness to let bottom-up creativity and entrepreneurship flourish in the marketplace of ideas, or we must call for increased regulatory scrutiny on all fronts.

…

And for the love of all that is holy, we must rid ourselves of this absurd myth that a single person just shows up one day with a skip in their step and a spark of genius in their brain to change everything overnight. Never again should we fall for an Elizabeth Holmes. Never again should we fall for an Adam Neumann. Never again should we fall for aĀ Sam Bankman-Fried. Never again should we fall for a Mark Zuckerberg.

Doing the same thing again, with a different company, a different founder offering a story of salvation, a different VC backer… any of that will only take us to the same place we’ve been, and has been proven to fail.

Let’s build something different. Let’s build interop.